Análisis del número de pacientes fallecidos con cáncer de mama y próstata en la población colombiana por departamento en el periodo (2006 -2015) mediante un modelo poisson espacio-temporal bayesiano

Abstract

Cancer in Colombia, as in the world is a problem latent throughout the population due to its great increase in the last ten years, the term cancer encompasses a large group of diseases characterized by the number of abnormal cells that divide and They grow without control in any part of the body. It begins when cells grow uncontrollably surpassing normal cells, making it di cult for the body to function properly. According to the (INC, 2013) there are more than 100 types of cancer, most of them take the name of the organ, tissues or cells where it reproduces. For the speci c case of this research, data obtained from the National Cancer Information System in Colombia are studied, where the number of patients dying from breast or prostate cancer for the years (2006-2016) by department is available. We will use Bayesian Poisson generalized linear models with temporal space focus. The estimation of the models provides important results in the identi cation of deaths due to breast and prostate cancer in each of the study sites, to make signi cant contributions in the strategies for the prevention and treatment of this disease and in the implementation of the country's public and health policies.