Contenido del informe de avance del proyecto. La migración, la tasa de cambio, la formas de financiación y el comercio informal en la frontera colombo venezolana, una apuesta por repensar la política pública. Casos: Maicao, Arauca y Cúcuta

Abstract

This research is considered as a third phase of the topic called "informality and its alternative forms of financing", carried out in the town of Chapinero and in some Colombian cities with high unemployment and informality such as: Villavicencio, Cúcuta and Ibagué, but in this additional occasion to the informal loans, it will contextualize in the effects of the migration and the rate of change that appears in the Colombian-Venezuelan border, on the informal commerce. For this purpose, the objective of the work is to analyze the incidence of three variables: migration, exchange rate and forms of financing on informal commerce in the cities of Maicao, Arauca and Cúcuta in 2018, and answer the research question on how these variables increase informality in commercial and

foreign exchange activity. These three selected cities represent strategic points with the Venezuelan border and have high rates of informality and unemployment. From the methodological point of view, a cross-sectional model and a linear regression will be developed, based on surveys applied to 180 informal vendors in each city. It is expected to find a high incidence of migration, the exchange rate and drop-by-drop loans. the benefits of informal commerce. Finally, it will be evaluated if the public policy programs implemented in each city are aimed at improving the working conditions of street vendors and reducing informality. For this purpose, an approach will be sought with the secretaries of public space and entrepreneurship in the Maicao City Halls. , Arauca and Cúcuta. This will allow to reach a meeting point with representatives of vendors, chambers of Commerce and the academy to propose financial inclusion programs