Efecto a Corto Plazo del PM10 y Ozono sobre la Mortalidad Cardiopulmonar en la Localidad de Santa Fe, Bogotá 2012-2014

Abstract

Objective: evaluate the short-term effect of PM10 and ozone on cardiopulmonary mortality in the locality of Santa Fe of Bogotá for the period 2012-2014. Methods: time series study that used Poisson models adjusted for confounding factors related to variations in time such as temperature and relative humidity, using self correlative structures that included the 3 day moving average and deferred effects (lags) up to 5 days for individual and combined contaminants. we used hourly information recorded on the air quality monitoring station of the locality, which is a traffic type. The antecedent cause of daily cardiopulmonary mortality in the locality was obtained from the District Health Secretary of Bogotá. Results: an effect of the exposure to PM10 and Ozone in cardiopulmonary mortality was evidenced, which was not statistically significant. In all ages, a 10 μg/m3 increase in the average daily of PM10 showed a 1% (95% CI:-6.33; 9.10) increase in cardiopulmonary mortality two days before death (lag2), an increase of 3% (95% CI: -6.78; 14.16) in cardiovascular mortality in lag2 and an increase of 1% (95% CI:-13;16) in mortality from lower respiratory tract infection on the day of death (Lag0). Likewise, an increase of 11 ppb in the average daily maximum 8 hours of ozone increases cardiopulmonary mortality by 5% (95% CI:-11.16; 24.57) one day before death (lag1). Conclusions: the results show evidence in the association of PM10 and O3 contaminants and cardiopulmonary mortality, although the values are not statistically significant. In addition, it was possible to show that the age group with the highest risk of cardiopulmonary mortality is those older than 65 years.