Modelo de gestión de riesgos para interventoría de estadios en Colombia

Abstract

The construction of stadiums in Colombia with a capacity of less than 10,000 spectators and public funding faces recurring problems of cost overruns, delays, and quality deficiencies, as evidenced by cases such as the Mosquera Municipal Stadium. This research aimed to develop an integrated risk management model for the supervision of these projects, combining the PMBOK v6 and Risk Management Framework with technological surveillance. Using a mixed-method approach that included retrospective simulation of the Mosquera case, probability-impact matrices, earned value analysis, and assumption analysis workshops were applied. The results demonstrated that the proposed model would have enabled the timely identification and response to critical risks, avoiding approximately 69% of cost overruns and significantly reducing delays through 23 specific tools. The study concludes that the integration of both frameworks surpasses traditional reactive approaches, offering a dynamic system that optimizes public resources, ensures regulatory compliance, and strengthens governance in Colombian sports infrastructure projects.