Gobernar la escasez: respuestas de las ciudades de São Paulo y Ciudad del Cabo a crisis hídricas y una aproximación al caso de Bogotá

dc.contributor.advisorMoreno Durán, Álvaro Hernán
dc.contributor.authorBarrios Tavera, Camilo Andrés
dc.contributor.corporatenameUniversidad Santo Tómas
dc.contributor.cvlachttps://scienti.minciencias.gov.co/cvlac/visualizador/generarCurriculoCv.do?cod_rh=0000155870
dc.contributor.googlescholarhttps://scholar.google.com/citations?user=PbqpKn4AAAAJ&hl=es&oi=ao
dc.contributor.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7124-5505
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-10T20:39:03Z
dc.date.available2026-07-10T20:39:03Z
dc.date.issued2026-06-26
dc.descriptionEste artículo evalúa comparativamente las respuestas institucionales a las crisis de agua urbana en São Paulo (2014–2015) y Ciudad del Cabo (2017–2018) para identificar cómo las ciudades responden a este tipo de eventos y así formar un diálogo con la experiencia reciente de Bogotá. Basándose en un marco analítico centrado en tres dimensiones: la naturaleza administrativa del operador, los incentivos institucionales y la responsabilidad política, el artículo explora cómo diferentes arreglos de gobernanza moldean la capacidad de respuesta a la escasez. A través de este enfoque analítico, demostramos que la efectividad de la gestión no depende únicamente de la naturaleza pública o privada del proveedor, sino de la capacidad institucional para alinear incentivos, coordinar actores y mantener la legitimidad política. También muestra que las ciudades enfrentan estas crisis con un conjunto de herramientas limitado, cuyas diferencias radican en su secuenciación y legitimación institucional. El artículo concluye que gobernar la escasez es, sobre todo, un problema de capacidades estatales y gobernanza, más que de diseño organizacional o soluciones exclusivamente técnicas.
dc.description.abstractThis article comparatively evaluates institutional responses to urban water crises in São Paulo (2014–2015) and Cape Town (2017–2018) in order to identify how cities respond to such events and to establish a dialogue with the recent experience of Bogotá. Based on an analytical framework centered on three dimensions—the administrative nature of the operator, institutional incentives, and political accountability—the article explores how different governance arrangements shape the capacity to respond to scarcity. Through this analytical approach, we demonstrate that effective management does not depend solely on whether the provider is public or private, but rather on the institutional capacity to align incentives, coordinate actors, and maintain political legitimacy. The article also shows that cities confront these crises with a limited set of tools, whose differences lie primarily in their sequencing and institutional legitimation. It concludes that governing scarcity is, above all, a matter of state capacity and governance, rather than organizational design or exclusively technical solutions.
dc.description.degreelevelMaestríaspa
dc.description.degreenameMagister en Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionalesspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.citationBarrios Tavera, C. (2026). Gobernar la escasez: respuestas de las ciudades de São Paulo y Ciudad del Cabo a crisis hídricas y una aproximación al caso de Bogotá. [Trabajo de Maestría, Universidad Santo Tómas]. Repositorio Institucional.
dc.identifier.instnameinstname:Universidad Santo Tomásspa
dc.identifier.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad Santo Tomásspa
dc.identifier.repourlrepourl:https://repository.usta.edu.cospa
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11634/73098
dc.language.isospa
dc.publisherUniversidad Santo Tomásspa
dc.publisher.branchCRAI-USTA Bogotá
dc.publisher.facultyFacultad de Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionalesspa
dc.publisher.programMaestría en Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionalesspa
dc.relation.referencesAbajian, A. C., Cole, C., Jack, K., Meng, K. C., & Visser, M. (2025). Dodging Day Zero: Drought, adaptation, and inequality in Cape Town (Working Paper 33468). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/papers/w33468
dc.relation.referencesAragón, J., & Guibert, Y. (2015). Metodología y diseños de investigación en política comparada. Escuela de Gobierno y Políticas Públicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. https://gobierno.pucp.edu.pe/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/aragon-y-guibert-2015.pdf
dc.relation.referencesAraújo Cruxên, I. (2022). Disordering capital: The politics of business in the business of water provision (Doctoral dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology). MIT Libraries DSpace@MIT. https://dspace.mit.edu/entities/publication/bc00d550-c691-40e5- a042-b7c1c89113a4
dc.relation.referencesAristóteles. (2000). La política (C. García Gual, Trad.). Alianza Editorial.
dc.relation.referencesAssies, W. (2003). David versus Goliath in Cochabamba: Water rights, neoliberalism, and the revival of social protest in Bolivia. Latin American Perspectives, 30(3), 14–36.
dc.relation.referencesBanco Mundial. (2025). Mantenerse unidos en tiempos de crisis: lecciones de la gestión de sequías en Bogotá. World Bank Blogs. https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/latinamerica/mantenerse-unidos-tiempos-crisis-leccionesgestion- sequias-bogota
dc.relation.referencesBakker, K. (2010). Privatizing water: Governance failure and the world's urban water crisis. Cornell University Press.
dc.relation.referencesBiswas, R. R., Sharma, R., & Gyasi-Agyei, Y. (2022). Urban water crises: Making sense of climate change adaptation barriers and success parameters. Climate Services, 27, Artículo 100302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100302
dc.relation.referencesMonge, F., Leary, K., & De Jong, J. (2024). "No trust in miracles": Leading through a water crisis in Cape Town (HKS Case 2227.0). Bloomberg Harvard City Leadership Initiative.
dc.relation.referencesBooysen, M. J., & Ripunda, C. (2021). When usage matters: Time-of-use analysis of Cape Town’s Day Zero drought response. Water Science & Technology, 84(10–11), 3122–3132. https://doi.org/10.2166/wst.2021.324
dc.relation.referencesBorgomeo, E. (2026). The paradoxes holding back progress on water security. Nature Water, 4, 287–293. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-026-00598-w
dc.relation.referencesCaicedo, E. (2024, 16 de abril). Chingaza II: el sistema que ayudaría a Bogotá a tener más agua, pero afectaría al páramo, ¿se debería construir? El Tiempo. https://www.eltiempo.com/vida/medio-ambiente/chingaza-ii-el-sistema-que-ayudaria-abogota- a-tener-mas-agua-pero-afectaria-al-paramo-se-deberia-construir-3334494
dc.relation.referencesCalverley, C. M., & Walther, S. C. (2022). Drought, water management, and social equity: Analyzing Cape Town, South Africa’s water crisis. Frontiers in Water, 4, 910149. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2022.910149
dc.relation.referencesCathala, C., Núñez, A., & Rios, A. R. (2018). Water in the time of drought: Lessons from five droughts around the world (IDB Policy Brief Nº 295). Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. (DOI no disponible en la fuente).
dc.relation.referencesCustódio, V. (2015). A crise hídrica na Região Metropolitana de São Paulo (2014–2015). Geousp – Espaço e Tempo (Online), 19(3), 445–463. https://doi.org/10.11606/issn.2179- 0892.geousp.2015.102136
dc.relation.referencesDavis, R. (2018, 14 de marzo). #CapeWaterGate: In the end, what was Day Zero all about? *Daily Maverick*. https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2018-03-14-capewatergate-inthe- end-what-was-day-zero-all-about/
dc.relation.referencesEid, J., & Øyslebø, T. E. (2020). Collective responses to the 2018 water shortage in Cape Town: An explorative qualitative study. Sustainability, 12(16), 6638. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12166638
dc.relation.referencesEmpresa de Acueducto y Alcantarillado de Bogotá. (2024). Informe de gestión 2024.
dc.relation.referencesEmpresa de Acueducto y Alcantarillado de Bogotá. (2025). Informe de gestión 2025.
dc.relation.referencesEmpinotti, V. L., Budds, J., & Aversa, M. (2019). Governance and water security: The role of the water institutional framework in the 2013–15 water crisis in São Paulo, Brazil. Geoforum, 98, 46–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2018.09.022
dc.relation.referencesEnqvist, J. P., & Ziervogel, G. (2019). Water governance and justice in Cape Town: An overview. WIREs Water, 6(4), e1354. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1354
dc.relation.referencesGarrick, D., & Hall, J. W. (2014). Water security and society: Risks, metrics, and pathways. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 39, 611–639. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-013012-093817
dc.relation.referencesGrey, D., & Sadoff, C. W. (2007). Sink or swim? Water security for growth and development. Water Policy, 9(6), 545–571. https://doi.org/10.2166/wp.2007.021
dc.relation.referencesHantke-Domas, M., & Jouravlev, A. (2011). Lineamientos de política pública para el sector de agua potable y saneamiento (Documento de proyecto). CEPAL.
dc.relation.referencesHood, C. (1991). A public management for all seasons? Public Administration, 69(1), 3–19. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9299.1991.tb00779.x
dc.relation.referencesIPCC. (2023). Climate change 2023: Synthesis report. Contribution of working groups I, II and III to the sixth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC. https://doi.org/10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647
dc.relation.referencesJacobi, P. R., Paz, M. G. A., Leão, R. S., & Estancione, L. M. B. (2013). Water governance and natural disasters in the Metropolitan Region of São Paulo, Brazil. International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development, 5(1), 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1080/19463138.2013.7827
dc.relation.referencesLijphart, A. (1971). Comparative politics and the comparative method. American Political Science Review, 65(3), 682–693. https://doi.org/10.2307/1955513
dc.relation.referencesLucinda, C. R., Grover, D., & Patel, S. (2019). Drought response in an election year: Evidence from Brazil (Working Paper Series Nº 2019-09). Department of Economics, FEA/USP.
dc.relation.referencesMillington, N. (2018). Producing water scarcity in São Paulo, Brazil: The 2014–2015 water crisis and the binding politics of infrastructure. Political Geography, 65, 26–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2018.04.007
dc.relation.referencesNhamo, G., & Agyepong, A. O. (2019). Climate change adaptation and local government: Institutional complexities surrounding Cape Town’s Day Zero. Jàmbá: Journal of Disaster Risk Studies, 11(3), a717. https://doi.org/10.4102/jamba.v11i3.717
dc.relation.referencesOCDE. (2021). Water governance in Cape Town, South Africa. OECD Studies on Water. OCDE Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/a6c83d6c-en
dc.relation.referencesOliveira Filho, G. R. (2015). A crise da água na Região Metropolitana de São Paulo em 2014 e a ineficiente gestão dos recursos hídricos. CES Revista, 29(1), 5–20.
dc.relation.referencesONU-Agua. (2021). Informe mundial de las Naciones Unidas sobre el desarrollo de los recursos hídricos 2021: El valor del agua. UNESCO. https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000375751_spa
dc.relation.referencesOrtega-Ramírez, A. T., Hinojosa-Flores, I. D., Álvarez-Mena, E. L. G., Rojas-Camargo, E., & Suárez-Castro, A. (2026). Assessment and response to water stress in Bogotá: A multidimensional analysis. Water, 18(10), 1155. https://doi.org/10.3390/w18101155
dc.relation.referencesPollitt, C., Talbot, C., Caulfield, J., & Smullen, A. (2005). Agencies: How governments do things through semi-autonomous organizations. Palgrave Macmillan
dc.relation.referencesRodina, L. (2019). Planning for water resilience: Competing agendas among Cape Town's planners and water managers. Landscape and Urban Planning, 183, 119–127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2018.11.009
dc.relation.referencesRozas Balbontín, P., & Hantke-Domas, M. (2013). Gestión pública y servicios públicos: Notas sobre el concepto tradicional de servicio público (Serie Recursos Naturales e Infraestructura N° 162). CEPAL
dc.relation.referencesSantos, I. P. O., Fracalanza, A. P., Coates, R., & Warner, J. (2021). São Paulo’s 2013 water crisis: A socially constructed disaster risk. Sustainability in Debate, 12(3), 167–181. https://doi.org/10.18472/SustDeb.v12n1.2021.38652
dc.relation.referencesSchreiber, L. (2019). Keeping the taps running: How Cape Town averted “Day Zero,” 2017–2018. Innovations for Successful Societies, Princeton University.
dc.relation.referencesSimpson, G., Shearing, C., & Dupont, B. (2019). The water crisis in Cape Town: Crime, conflict and cooperation. International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development, 11(3), 320–335. https://doi.org/10.1080/19463138.2019.164220
dc.relation.referencesSoriano, É., Londe, L. R., Di Gregorio, L. T., Coutinho, M. P., & Santos, L. B. L. (2016). Water crisis in São Paulo evaluated under the disaster’s point of view. Ambiente & Sociedade, 19(1), 21–42. https://doi.org/10.1590/1809-4422ASOC150120R1V1912016
dc.relation.referencesSousa, C. O. M., & Fouto, N. M. M. D. (2019). Economic incentives for water consumption reduction: Case study of the city of São Paulo, Brazil. Water Policy, 21(6), 1266–1278. https://doi.org/10.2166/wp.2019.022
dc.relation.referencesTorrado, S. (2024, 26 de diciembre). La crisis climática se impone entre las prioridades de Bogotá. El País. https://elpais.com/america-colombia/2024-12-26/la-crisis-climatica-seimpone- entre-las-prioridades-de-bogota.html
dc.relation.referencesVargas, M. C. (2019). A “crise hídrica” na Grande São Paulo (2014–2015): Vulnerabilidade climática e déficit de governança. Antropología Americana, 4(8), 87–116. https://doi.org/10.35424/anam.v4i8.356
dc.relation.referencesViljoen, N. S. (2019). Participative water demand management as an adaptive response within complex socio-institutional systems: A case study of Cape Town, South Africa [Tesis de doctorado, University of Cape Town].
dc.relation.referencesVisser, W. P. (2018). A perfect storm: The ramifications of Cape Town’s drought crisis. The Journal for Transdisciplinary Research in Southern Africa, 14(1), a567. https://doi.org/10.4102/td.v14i1.567
dc.relation.referencesWolski, P. (2018). How severe is Cape Town's “Day Zero” drought? Significance, 15(2), 24–27. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2018.01127.x
dc.relation.referencesZambiasi, T. (2025). Financialization and water crisis in São Paulo (2014–2015). Geoforum, 167, 104464. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2025.104464
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.5 Colombiaen
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.rights.coarhttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.localAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/co/
dc.subject.keywordInstitutional design
dc.subject.keywordWater governance
dc.subject.keywordUrban water crisis
dc.subject.keywordUrban governance
dc.subject.keywordPublic utilities
dc.subject.keywordNew public management
dc.subject.keywordSão Paulo
dc.subject.keywordCape Town
dc.subject.keywordBogotá
dc.subject.lembGobierno y relaciones internacionales
dc.subject.lembGestión de los recursos hídricos
dc.subject.lembGobernanza del agua
dc.subject.proposalDiseño institucional
dc.subject.proposalGobernanza del agua
dc.subject.proposalCrisis Hídrica urbana
dc.subject.proposalGobierno urbano
dc.subject.proposalServicios públicos
dc.subject.proposalNueva gestión pública
dc.subject.proposalSao Paulo
dc.subject.proposalCiudad del Cabo
dc.subject.proposalBogotá
dc.titleGobernar la escasez: respuestas de las ciudades de São Paulo y Ciudad del Cabo a crisis hídricas y una aproximación al caso de Bogotá
dc.typemaster thesis
dc.type.coarhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc
dc.type.coarversionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aaspa
dc.type.driveinfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisspa
dc.type.localTesis de maestríaspa
dc.type.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa

Archivos

Bloque original

Mostrando 1 - 1 de 1
Cargando...
Miniatura
Nombre:
2026.Camilo Barrios.pdf
Tamaño:
473.87 KB
Formato:
Adobe Portable Document Format

Bloque de licencias

Mostrando 1 - 3 de 3
Cargando...
Miniatura
Nombre:
license.txt
Tamaño:
807 B
Formato:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Descripción:
Cargando...
Miniatura
Nombre:
2026cartadefacultad.pdf
Tamaño:
314.67 KB
Formato:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Descripción:
Carta de Facultad
Cargando...
Miniatura
Nombre:
2026cartadederechosdeautor.pdf
Tamaño:
366.05 KB
Formato:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Descripción:
Carta derechos de autor