Análisis del Gasto Interno en Turismo: Tipos de Viajeros y el caso de la Región Central Sur de Colombia

Abstract

This article analyzes which are the regional attributes, geos or in terms of economic indicators that are relevant in the demand function of internal tourism. Through a geographical division that divides the country into macro regions, the determinants and their effects on the probability that a national traveler chooses the South Central Region of Colombia as final destination, which includes Bogotá D.C., and the departments of Cundinamarca, Huila and Tolima, through a Random Utility Model - Logistics. The data used comes from the Internal Tourism Expenditure Survey (EGIT) for the fourth quarter of 2021, and from other official sources specified in the document. Additionally, the t-SNE and the BIRCH Model are implemented to group and characterize the types of travelers.

The empirical background affirms that the region that is the most recipient of domestic tourism is the Caribbean region, however, in this case, Antioquia was the department that received the highest number of tourists in the period studied; Conclusions such as this can be addressed in the robust descriptive analysis contained in the article. Finally, the results of the estimated model suggest that the number of national trips made by a person, the number of travelers attracted in the previous year are variables that have a positive effect on the probability of success, while variables such as Distance en route from origin to destination, the temperature of the destination has a negative influence, all of which are statistically significant.