Diseño de la propuesta de monitoreo y control basada en la gestión de riesgos, para el montaje del sistema contra incendios en turbinas y generadores de la Central Termoguajira, siguiendo los lineamientos del PMBOK Sexta Edición.

Abstract

This Final Master's Project aimed to design a monitoring and control proposal based on risk management, following the PMBOK Sixth Edition, for the installation of the fire suppression system in turbines and generators at the Termoguajira Power Plant (GECELCA S.A. E.S.P.), ensuring safety, quality, and schedule compliance. The content was structured around nine of the ten PMBOK knowledge areas: Integration, Scope, Schedule, Quality, Resources, Communications, Risk, Procurement, and Stakeholders. Cost Management was excluded as an independent area due to the confidentiality of GECELCA's financial information, being addressed solely as a reference indicator. The methodology applied the seven PMBOK risk management processes (planning, identification, qualitative and quantitative analysis, response planning and implementation, and monitoring), using a Risk Breakdown Structure (RBS), a Probability-Impact Matrix, and Expected Monetary Value (EMV) analysis. The results identified 22 risks (1 Critical, 2 High, 17 Moderate, 2 Low), with RE-01 "delay in importing UL/FM-certified equipment, exposure 0.81" as the central finding, positioning procurement as the priority process. The EMV analysis projected a reference net benefit of $112.6M against a $26.7M investment (1:4 ratio). A 10-KPI dashboard across five dimensions (schedule, cost, risk, quality, occupational safety) was designed, along with three S-Curves over a 10-month, $786M reference baseline, and an integrated plan of 29 processes across three phases. The discussion contrasted these findings with antecedents such as Cáceres (2023) and Pérez et al. (2019), showing that integrating risk and occupational safety indicators into monitoring constitutes a differentiating contribution compared to traditional approaches based solely on time and cost. It was concluded that the project enables a transition from reactive to proactive management, with its main methodological contribution being the integration of risk as a cross-cutting axis of the proposed monitoring and control system.