Migración interna y mercado Laboral en Bogotá: 1986 – 2011: un estudio de la incidencia del estatus migratorio en las posibilidades de acceso al empleo y al sector informal

Abstract

Based on the 2003 Dane Quality of Life Survey and the 2011 Dane Multipurpose Survey on Bogotá, we analyse the patterns of internal migration to Bogotá during the first decade of this century, as well as the incidence of migration status on the probabilities of accessing employment and being in the informal sector. The analysis is based on descriptive tables on employment indicators for natives and migrants, and a multinomial logit regression model is used to describe the determinants of access to employment and the informal sector. Descriptive statistics show that recent migrants (less than one year, and between 1 and 5 years of migration) have lower unemployment rates than natives, but higher levels of informality. Recent migrant women and displaced persons have the worst employment and formality situation. The differential situation between migrants and natives tends to fade over time, and so after 5 years it tends to converge. The logit model does not fully confirm the impact of migration status, although it does show the feminisation of unemployment and informality: being a recent female migrant increases the probability of being in the informal sector by 28% and the probability of being unemployed by 10%.