Incidencia de la calidad del empleo y las condiciones socioeconómicas sobre la decisión de migrar hacia Cundinamarca y Bogotá durante 2013-2015

Abstract

This research estimated the effect of the quality of employment, the individual characteristics and socio-economic conditions of the departments of Colombia on the decision to migrate the population economically active (EAP) to Cundinamarca and Bogotá, region that is positioned as the main recipient of migrants because its geographical position, in the Centre of Colombia and characterized by its status as Capital. For this, first of all, we calculated an index of labor precariousness (IPL), which quantifies the amount of employment deprivation experienced by the workers, and that therefore measure the absence of quality of employment. In the second instance, a counterfactual scenario was estimated to obtain a proxy variable of potential IPL that migrants faced in their departments of origin, and finally response binary probit models were used to evaluate the influence on the decision to migrate the aforementioned aspects. With results confirmed the existence of an analysis cost-benefit that precedes the decision to migrate, it was likewise noted the magnitude and direction of the effect of the quality of employment, the individual characteristics and socio-economic conditions of the regions of origin of migration.